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Tomorrow's Air Force: Tracing the Past, Shaping the Future, by Jeffrey J. Smith
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Looking ahead to future airpower requirements, this engaging and ground-breaking book on the history and future of American combat airpower argues that the USAF must adapt to the changes that confront it or risk decline into irrelevance. To provide decision makers with the necessary analytical tools, Jeffrey J. Smith uses organizational modeling to help explain historical change in the USAF and to anticipate change in the future. While the analysis and conclusions it offers may prove controversial, the book aims to help planners make better procurement decisions, institute appropriate long-term policy, and better organize, train, and equip the USAF for the future.
- Sales Rank: #710539 in eBooks
- Published on: 2013-11-01
- Released on: 2013-11-01
- Format: Kindle eBook
Review
"Organizational responsiveness to rapidly changing external threats will require an adaptive structure and leadership committed to synergistic employment of all US and coalition forces. This book is 'out of the box' thinking and is very timely given the recent and evolving Air Force roles and missions." ―Brigadier General Al Rachel, USAF (Ret.)
"Col. Smith has a great grasp of what the forthcoming debate will require. The Congress must reduce the spending at the very time our enemies are overtaking our capabilities. The debate needs to be engaged now. This book comes on the scene at just the right time." ―Denny Smith, former US Congressman and Air Force F-4 pilot
"With the Air Force bracing itself for a future of tight budgets, rapid technological change, and strategic uncertainty, its leaders at all levels must begin to ask themselves and each other some tough questions about the direction in which their service is headed. Those airmen willing to actively engage such discussions would do well to turn to Smith’s book as the basic point of departure for debates concerning the intricate relationship between the Air Force’s past, present, and future." ―Strategic Studies Quarterly
"According to Smith, leadership must adapt and prepare for a future battle space that is more technologically dependent, operationally dispersed, and focused away from air combat to air support and enhancement. It is a bold and courageous clarion call from a highly respected serving officer that should be read and heeded by anyone interested in the future of the US Air Force." ―Everett Dolman, School of Advanced Airpower Studies
About the Author
Colonel Jeffrey J. Smith, US Air Force, is the Commandant and Dean of the School of Advanced Air and Space Studies, Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama. He is an Air Force pilot with over 2,300 flying hours and has served in numerous command and staff positions. He holds a PhD in Political Science from Washington State University.
Most helpful customer reviews
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Enjoyed
By Al King
My grandson is joining the air force. This was great background for him. He enjoyed the read very much. Thank you
10 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
A great read on the next big organizational change in the Air Force
By John Kepko
With the title, "Tomorrow's Air Force," I expected this book to be a technology primer on new Air Force fighters and space lasers, but instead I found a unique insight into the Air Force culture, or rather, how organization and culture affected the leadership and decision making within the Air Force. The book is divided into 3 sections covering the years 1907-1947, 1947-1992, and 1992-2030. In each section, the author examines the rise and fall of different structures and commands within the Air Force that ultimately shaped the culture and leadership. One of the most surprising things I found in the book is how quantifiable the transition from one organizational culture to the next is. I would have expected something like 'organizational change' to be more in the fuzzy science arena. The book concludes with a look at the forces shaping the next organizational change and what that could mean for the next generation of Air Force leaders.
It may be easy to see these organizational changes in hindsight but looking forward and 'believing' is another matter. I think the author makes a great case for where the Air Force needs to be and offers the key to the book in the introduction: "The most important requirement of this work is for readers and senior USAF planners to remain objective, draw their responses based on data and sound logic, and ensure they themselves are not projecting their own bias in terms of their willingness to accept needed organization change." I retired from the Air Force 10 years ago but I still remember how stupid I thought it was to get rid of SAC and TAC - my biases linger.
7 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Things We Think But Do Not Say
By Jim Muccio
When Tom Cruise as "Jerry Maguire" penned his treatise entitled "Things We Think But Do Not Say", and sent it to all his friends, he was fired. Mcguire was overcome by an emotional sense of responsibility for his career-field and in particular his customers. He photocopied his treatise in the middle of the night and put a copy in everyone's in box. Perhaps he can be forgiven for his passion. Col Jeff Smith has no such luxury. As the Commandant and Dean of the United States Air Force (USAF) School of Advanced Air and Space Studies (SAASS), not only has Smith enjoyed a full and rewarding career in the USAF he has had long hours to think about and study his topic. With just as much passion as Mcguire Smith formally publishes what can only be described as the next logical step to follow the three classics of USAF counter-culture, namely "The Icarus Syndrome" by Carl Builder, "The Rise of the Fighter Generals" by Mike Worden, and "Boyd" , by Robert Coram. Whether or not Smith's book will become a classic will depend on the accuracy of his predictions. Having been witness to the past 25 years of USAF history myself, I concur with his prescience and sincerely hope we are on his vector.
Let me back up for just a second. When I entered the USAF on active duty in 1987 my first squadron commander (a maintenance squadron commander), sat me down in the Officer's Club, and after a few beers told me point blank, "Son, it's their flying club, get used to it, or get it out". At that point I had absolutely no idea what he was talking about. I had friends who were "rated" pilots and navigators, but with little Air Force history in my family, I did not know I was as second class citizen. So perhaps I didn't have the same hang-ups. I figured if I did a good job, and stayed in the Air Force I would be taken care of. As fate would have it, I didn't stay past four years and now, 25 years later, I've been able to witness what would have befallen me as I've watched the leadership of the USAF change, and I've watched the fortunes of my Air Force friends rise and fall. Because of Col Smith's book, I do not have to embellish or pass judgement on this history. Smith has laid down the facts in black and white.
Smith divides the history of the Air Force into three epochs...first, the early years and the creation of the Air Force up to 1947 and it's creation as an independent service. Second, the bomber years, from 1947 until the dissolution of the Strategic Air Command (SAC) in 1991. And the third epoch, which begins with the rise of the fighter generals and continues until the present. He predicts we are currently in a transition that will culminate in the 4th epoch of Air Force history which will begin around 2030 and will signal an end of a culture of those who fly high performance fighter aircraft and the rest of the Air Force. At this point the Air Force will have reached full maturity with an internalized recognition that the value of our great Air Force is the total value which the force brings to the nation, not just the importance of air dominance. It's important to note that one can never underplay the value of air dominance as so many critiques of the Air Force do...but sometimes the supreme message of air dominance get's clouded in the bravado of those who provide it for our nation (my opinion not Smith's).
Smith's predictions are not certain, as he only identifies signs that AF culture is changing. There are still mighty forces at play that simply do not recognize these signs. Smith conducts numerous surveys of Air Force personnel that are both enlightening and starkly revealing about the two competing factions within the service. The officers who are fighter pilots, and every other officer. The fighter pilots, by far, are still in charge. Don't get me wrong, I love fighter pilots. Fighter pilots are rock stars. That doesn't mean you put Steven Tyler in charge. When, in Smith's view, the Air Force begins to promote "General" officers, to the position of general officer, with promotions based on their intellectual and leadership capital, only then, will the Air Force transform into a fully mature, independent service, vs the bratty new baby service, the Army and Navy view her to be.
I'm giving Smith five stars for saying the things we think but do not say out loud. But I'm deducting ½ a star because I think he's got the Air Force role in cyber all wrong. I am also deducting ½ star because he also fails to give credit to the Air Force for their technical brilliance over the past 70 years. Not only did we create the most technological wonders for our rock stars to fly, we revolutionized many areas of air and space including propulsion (both jet engine and rocks), stealth, material science, sensors and electronic warfare, navigation, and of course autonomous vehicles. All this despite being hamstrung by our own hubris. Four stars for our very own Jerry Mcguire down at Maxwell!
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